I had no idea that live blackjack online tables feature a “shoe” and not an automatic shuffle machine! I noticed it today when I checked my balance of my (almost forgotten) account at an online bookmaker that advertised their live casino games in their home page. I thought that maybe skillful gamblers can make money by card counting at these games, so I joined and tried my “luck”. The short answer is that card counters may be able to make money in the long run playing live blackjack online, but due to the slow speed of the games and the very bad penetration, they should better look for better investments elsewhere.
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At first it was a pleasant surprise to find out that I could once again practice my card counting skills! It has been 10 years since the last time I visited a real casino and counted cards (read some stories about my blackjack career). Fortunately I still remembered the basic strategy and the Hi-Lo counting system, although I seem to have forgotten all the variations according to the true count. Anyway, long story short, I decided to sit down at one of those live blackjack tables, while I would be searching online for other card counters’ opinions related to these games.
It turns out that most of them complain about the speed of the games. True, just 20 hands had been dealt during the hour I spent playing live blackjack online. What is even worse is the fact that the 7-seat tables are usually full, even the ones of high stakes (50 euros minimum!). That really slows the game down.
Another discouraging fact is that players are only allowed to bet on their own hand or spot. At real casinos card counters usually bet the minimum on their hand when the odds are against them and place more bets (bigger as well) on other people’s hands when they have an edge versus the casino. In order to make money at blackjack, we need to increase our betting substantially when the “true count” number is more than two. At live blackjack online tables I wasn’t able to place bets to hands dealt next to me, or open another spot (or “box”).
To get you an idea, I would very much like to bet 5 euros per round when the casino’s edge is 0.5% against me (costing me about 2.5 cents per hand) and bet 50 euros at 3 different spots (for a total of 150 euros) when my edge is 0.5% against the casino (winning 75 cents per round). If the true count reached over 4 (more than 1% edge versus the casino), I would be willing to risk 300 euros on a single round for a nice 3-5 euros net profit in the long run!
True count advantage (Credit: blackjackincolor.com)
True count is the number card counters calculate when they divide the “running count” by the number of the remaining decks. For example, if the running count is +8 and there are 4 decks still in the shoe, the true count is +2. Card counters use that number to decide how much money they would bet and whether they need to change the basic strategy. Hitting or standing on 16 against the dealer’s Ten is one of the changes that comes to mind.
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Therefore, one of the most important parts of the game is knowing how many decks there are on the blackjack table. I estimated that it must have been 6 decks of cards at the table I was playing at. What’s even more important though is where the dealer places the cut card, which will signal the end of dealing the “shoe”. If they place the cut card towards the bottom of the shoe allowing 5 decks of cards to be dealt, the penetration is 16.6% (1/6) and is considered a favorable situation for the players. Depending on the penetration, the players’ edge vary accordingly.
Penetration is important because if the running count is, say 12 and the cut card is about to be dealt before the last remaining deck, we know that there are a lot of high-value cards (tens, kings, aces, etc.) in the remaining 52 cards. On the other hand, if the cut card is placed at the last 2 remaining decks, the high-value cards are scattered over 104 cards. For all we know, they can all be found at the last deck!
It turns out that most online casinos set the penetration of their live blackjack games at 50%! That means 3 decks of cards won’t be dealt out of 6! If the decks were 8, four decks wouldn’t be dealt! That is a very big disadvantage and combined with the slow speed of the games, it made me stand up and leave the table. Not before though I was dealt three 7’s!
The odds of that happening is 0.04%! Once upon a time when I was playing blackjack at brick and mortar casinos, I was dealt that very same hand twice the same night! The casino was offering a bottle of wine to any player hitting three 7’s, so I and my friend certainly didn’t leave the blackjack room empty-handed!
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About Online Blackjack
Welcome to OnlineBlackjack.com, the most complete guide to online blackjack on the internet. We have been providing blackjack players with recommendations and advice since 1998. Blackjack is, in our humble opinion, simply the best casino game ever invented. It is the perfect combination of skill, luck, and fun, and is one of the few games in the casino to give skilled players a good chance of beating the house.
We are a premier site and resource for blackjack players of all levels, and a crucial source of information for all aspects of the blackjack world. We feature articles on basic strategy, card counting, and blackjack analysis. In addition, we offer a regularly updated blog with the latest in blackjack news, commentary, and premier gambling destinations.
Online blackjack isn’t our only game here though, and we also keep an eye on the land-based tables. Our man on the ground in Las Vegas regularly hits the Vegas Strip to survey the casinos and find the best blackjack games in Vegas. We also offer advice on how to make the most of your visit through smart play and casino comps.
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- Classic & progressive blackjack
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- Great for U.S. based players
$4,000
- Vegas Style blackjack games
- Caters for American players
- Live 24/7 customer support
$11,000
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Is it safe to play blackjack online?
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This is the number one question we are asked all the time. And the answer is that yes, it is. Computer dealt online blackjack decks use random number generators (RNGs) to shuffle the cards. Independent third party statisticians test and certify these RNGs to ensure that the shuffles are fully random and fair. For those of you that prefer their games played live, you can find live dealer “cam” games that are run under the jurisdiction of regulators like the UK Gambling Commission or the Malta Gaming Authority.
That said, there are thousands of online casinos offering various games of blackjack, all eager to take your money. As you can imagine with that amount of competition there are bound to be shady sites that don’t run a fair game or that won’t pay when you win. These are often termed rogue casinos and boy, have we come across a few of these over the past 20 years. So you can believe us when we say that our pain can be your gain.
We test and review online casinos
We regularly test all of the casinos that we recommend here at OnlineBlackjack.com with our mystery shoppers. They play with real money to verify that the casino offers fair games and pays out in a timely manner. We always stick to casinos that have proven to be trustworthy over multiple years of operation. And we refuse to endorse fly-by-night or brand new casinos with no track record.
But don’t just take our word for it. If you want a second opinion on any of the casinos that we recommend, take a look at some of today’s most well known and respected casino reviewers such as Casino Listings or the Wizard of Odds. See what they have to say about the casinos we recommend. We are confident in our experience and expertise, and in our ability to pick a good casino and a good game of online blackjack.
RNG or live dealer blackjack?
It is fair to say that both forms of online blackjack have their own set of pros and cons. Factors working in favour of the random number generator games include the speed of the deal, variety of rules, low table limits, and an unlimited availability of tables. But there are many players that maintain a vehement skepticism of RNG shuffled games or video blackjack.
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Live dealer blackjack is the natural answer to this skepticism. Though slower paced, games broadcast via camera allow you see the shuffle and deal, and to chat with the dealer while you play. Not to mention avoiding the smoke or that annoying guy who is always on third base at your local casino! We have detailed information on live dealer blackjack and recommendations of where to play right here at OnlineBlackjack.com.